SC Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt will face each other in Freiburg on Wednesday in the Bundesliga. The hosts, who were in the second position have slipped to the fifth position after losing to Wolfsburg. Eintracht Frankfurt, on the other hand, climbed to the third position after their win against Schalke.
Freiburg have had an incredible season, as they have 30 points with nine wins to their name. But the 6-0 loss against Wolfsburg have pushed them down to the fifth position. They will be hoping to get back to winning ways at home.
Eintracht Frankfurt have gone up to the third position following their 3-0 win against Schalke. They also have 30 points with nine wins under their belt. They will be hoping to get three points at Freiburg, which will put them in the second position.
Now we look at some stats that could predict the match’s outcome.
Season so far
The visual above shows the percentile rank of SC Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt compared to other teams in the Bundesliga. Frankfurt have better stats than Freiburg in almost all the metrics. They are ranked highly for goals per game, recoveries per game, high press success, and entry into the opponent’s penalty area. Freiburg has better stats in passing accuracy, possession, and crosses per game. The hosts will be aware of the goal threat Frankfurt poses and will be trying to stop it, while the visitors should deal with Freiburg’s crosses.
Attack
The visual above shows the efficiency of positional attacks by different Bundesliga teams. Freiburg are fourth on the list with 11% efficiency, and Frankfurt is seventh with 10%. The hosts launch an average of 25.63 positional attacks per game, with 30% of them leading to shots, while the visitors launch around 28.69 positional attacks, with 25.9% of them leading to shots.
While Freiburg have better stats in efficient positional attacks, Frankfurt poses a goal threat that Freiburg can’t match. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game and have scored 35 goals this season. On the other hand, Freiburg have scored ten fewer goals with an average of 1.56 goals per game.
Defence
Freiburg are the second-best team when it comes to the win percentage of aerial duels. They have won 53% of the aerial duels they have participated in and take part in an average of 51.5 aerial duels per game with 48.5% success. Meanwhile, Eintracht Frankfurt contests an average of 36.69 aerial duels per game with a 43.8% success rate. This could cause Frankfurt some trouble, as Freiburg plays a lot of crosses into the box.
If Freiburg have done better in aerial duels, Eintracht Frankfurt presses high and wins the ball back in the attacking half. They are ranked highly for high press success and have made around 10 recoveries per game in the attacking half. The visitors have also made an average of 95.81 recoveries per game. Freiburg, meanwhile, makes only 84.75 recoveries per game, with eight of them in the attacking half.
Key Players
The visual above shows Vincenzo Grifo’s xG map from the current season. He is Freiburg’s top scorer with nine goals to his name. He has taken 30 shots this season and converted 80% of the penalties he has taken. He will have a key role to play in the match.
The young midfielder is having another spectacular season, as he has already scored seven goals this season. Lindstrom scored in their last match against Schalke and provided an assist as well. Freiburg will have to make sure that the 22-year-old does not have a good game, as he can single-handedly take away the match.
Betting Analysis
Looking at the 1×2 market, the odds for Freiburg are placed at 2.62, and the odds for Eintracht Frankfurt are placed at 2.72. The over/under lines could go up considering that Eintracht scored three goals and Freiburg conceded six in their previous games.
Eintracht Frankfurt will travel to Freiburg on the back of a 3-0 win against Schalke. A win here would take them to the second spot, as they are already in the third with 30 points. Freiburg, even though they have the same points, are in fifth. They will be hoping to enter the top four with a win at home.
Visuals via TFA data viz engine
