Borussia Monchengladbach are sitting in tenth with 26 points and are nine points short of any kind of chance to qualify for European competition next season. Meanwhile, Bayern Munich are in the top spot with just a one-point lead over Union Berlin and are coming back from a tiring Champions League clash against PSG.
It is a very important fixture for both sides, especially the visitors, as it will determine who takes the upper hand in contending for the title this season between the clubs from Berlin and Munich. Below we look at some of the stats for the teams from the current season, which can help determine the most likely outcome of the match.
The visual above shows the percentile rank of both M’gladbach and Bayern compared to other teams in the Bundesliga. Bayern have better stats than the other teams in all departments. The team are leading the table as well are ranked top in terms of their percentile ranks for most of the departments. M’gladbach, on the other hand, have done well in the league in terms of maintaining possession and overall passing performance. Both teams are also ranked similarly in terms of entries into the opponent’s penalty area per 90. Bayern Munich have the upper hand and are the favourite to win the game.
Borussia Monchengladbach are currently in tenth place in the 2022–23 German Bundesliga, with 26 points from 20 matches played. They have won seven matches, drawn five, and lost eight. They have scored 35 goals (29.38 xG) and conceded 33 goals (33.9 xGA). They have scored most of their goals from inside the box, but as can also be seen in the above viz, the team has around three goals from outside the box. The top scorer for Borussia Mönchengladbach in the 2022/23 German Bundesliga is Marcus Thuram with ten goals (10.19 xG). The team averages 11.2 shots per match with 45.1% accuracy.
Bayern Munich are currently in first place in the 2022–23 German Bundesliga, with 43 points from 20 matches played. They have won 12 matches, drawn seven, and lost only one. They have scored 58 goals (49.53 xG) and conceded 18 goals (22.3 xGA). They average 18.55 shots per 90, with 42.9% shot accuracy. Most of their goals have come from inside the box, and they have also managed to find the target from long range on as many as 16 occasions.
High pressure and defensive success
The above two visuals represent the ranking of teams in the Bundesliga based on their percentage of defensive duel wins and success in making recoveries in the opponent’s half. It can be seen that both teams are miles apart from each other when it comes to recoveries in the opposition half. In terms of recoveries in the opponent’s half, M’gladbach are ranked bottom in the Bundesliga, averaging 79.3 recoveries per 90, of which 7.0 are in the opponent’s half. Meanwhile, Bayern Munich are the highest-ranked side and averages 12.0 recoveries in the opposition’s half per match out of a total of 91.5 recoveries per 90.
On average, M’gladbach attempts 56.7 defensive duels and makes 43.65 interceptions per 90 versus 59.6 defensive duels and 39.65 interceptions per 90 for Bayern.
Player to watch out
In the 2022–23 German Bundesliga season, Jamal Musiala played 19 matches for Bayern Munich. He has 17 shots on target from a total of 39 and has scored ten goals (7.04 xG). Musiala averages 33 passes per match with a pass completion rate of 84% and has eight assists. He has been influential for his side and will be a key player for Bayern Munich for the remainder of the season. He has an xA of 4.01 for the matches played. Most of the actions have been taken inside the box, with some in the final third.
M’gladbach defenders will have to be on their toes in order to ensure Musiala is contained during the 90 minutes.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have their entire squad up for selection and have no injuries or suspensions, which is a huge boost for the team. Meanwhile, Sadio Mane, Lucas Hernandez, Manuel Neuer, and Noussair Mazraoui will not be available for selection by Nagelsmann.
Overall, Bayern Munich will look to grab all three points and relieve pressure at the top. They have not found a win in their last three Bundesliga games and will look to get back to winning ways. M’gladbach has the will to make it through this match despite seeming to struggle this season. It will be an interesting clash, with the team from Munich being the favourites, but it remains to be seen which team comes out on top.
Visuals via TFA data viz engine